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Santa Tecla vs Metapan

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Esquivel J.
74' Event
Stradella G.
84' Event
Flores C. N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2023/2024 game between Santa Tecla and Metapan finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metapan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Santa Tecla
20%
Draws
70%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Santa Tecla haven't matched Metapan's recent run of results.
  • Metapan are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Tecla Metapan
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 5 17
Draws 9 10
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Metapan
0:4
Mar 6, 2024 Primera Division
Metapan vs Santa Tecla
0:1
Oct 14, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Metapan
2:3
Aug 20, 2023 Primera Division
Metapan vs Santa Tecla
2:0
Apr 30, 2023 Primera Division
Metapan vs Santa Tecla
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Tecla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Stradella G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Esquivel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Tecla 12 / 100
Metapan 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Tecla Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metapan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Tecla scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Metapan let in goals in 70% of their last 40 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Santa Tecla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Metapan
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Tecla

(Home)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
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Metapan

(Away)
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
06 Sept
Metapan
0 : 1
Inca Aruba
28 Aug
Municipal Limeno
3 : 1
Metapan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)