Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2016 game between Santacruzense and Elosport finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santacruzense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santacruzense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santacruzense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Santacruzense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Santacruzense have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 20%
Elosport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santacruzense | Elosport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 2, 2019 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Santacruzense
1:6
Apr 21, 2019 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Elosport
3:0
Jul 10, 2016 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Santacruzense
1:1
May 22, 2016 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Elosport
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santacruzense 67 / 100
Elosport 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santacruzense Elosport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santacruzense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Elosport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Santacruzense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Elosport's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Santacruzense VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Santacruzense
(Home) 04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0 America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1 Santacruzense
Page 1 of 7
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0 America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
31 May
Santacruzense
1 : 2 Matonense
10 May
Santacruzense
1 : 0 Mogi Mirim
03 May
Santacruzense
2 : 5 Independente SP
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Elosport
(Away) 14 Nov
Elosport
0 : 2 Independente SP
11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2 Elosport
08 Nov
Elosport
1 : 2 Uniao Barbarense
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2 Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2 Elosport
Page 1 of 6
11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2 Elosport
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2 Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2 Elosport
21 Oct
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 1 Elosport
30 Jun
AA Itarare
5 : 0 Elosport
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 36:6 | 32 |
| 2 | Vocem | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Santacruzense | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Tupa | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Elosport | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:20 | 15 |
| 6 | Assisense | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:29 | 12 |
| 7 | Osvaldo Cruz | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13:39 | 6 |
| 8 | Presidente Prudente | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13:36 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 29:10 | 31 |
| 2 | XV de Jau | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 25 |
| 3 | Tanabi | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:20 | 22 |
| 4 | Bandeirante | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:28 | 21 |
| 5 | Andradina Esporte Clube | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 24:26 | 17 |
| 6 | America SP | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | 16 |
| 7 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 8 | AEA Aracatuba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 18:33 | 9 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diadema | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30:9 | 31 |
| 2 | Desportivo | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Taboao da Serra | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 35:20 | 26 |
| 4 | SKA Brasil | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 5 | CA Lemense | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 18 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7:26 | 12 |
| 7 | Amparo SP | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17:29 | 10 |
| 8 | Palmeirinha SP | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 10:36 | 9 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 31:9 | 32 |
| 2 | Mauaense | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Guarulhos | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 31:24 | 25 |
| 4 | Jabaquara | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 5 | EC Sao Bernardo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 26:22 | 20 |
| 6 | Manthiqueira | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 7 | Uniao Mogi | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9:33 | 8 |
| 8 | Atletico Mogi | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6:32 | 7 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)
