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Santafe Wanderers vs St. Louis Ambush

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santafe Wanderers play St. Louis Ambush in the USL League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santafe Wanderers averaged 2.17 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. St. Louis Ambush averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Santafe Wanderers won 2, St. Louis Ambush won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Santafe Wanderers and 1.13 for St. Louis Ambush. This points to a Santafe Wanderers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Santafe Wanderers
17%
Draws
33%
St. Louis Ambush
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Santafe Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Santafe Wanderers picked up more points recently compared to St. Louis Ambush.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Santafe Wanderers Clean Sheet 21%
St. Louis Ambush Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santafe Wanderers St. Louis Ambush
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 USL League Two
St. Louis Ambush vs Santafe Wanderers
0:2
May 24, 2026 USL League Two
Santafe Wanderers vs St. Louis Ambush
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 USL League Two
St. Louis Ambush vs Santafe Wanderers
0:2
May 31, 2025 USL League Two
Santafe Wanderers vs St. Louis Ambush
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santafe Wanderers 49 / 100
St. Louis Ambush 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santafe Wanderers St. Louis Ambush

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santafe Wanderers or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santafe Wanderers attacking → ← attacking St. Louis Ambush

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santafe Wanderers scored in 83% of their last 23 games.

St. Louis Ambush let in goals in 91% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Santafe Wanderers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

St. Louis Ambush lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 24
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25