Sport Picks
Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin, Tandil 
Match Events
33'
33'
Barberini V.
54'
54'
Sub
Benitez M. In: San Martin B.
Out: Benitez M.
64'
64'
San Martin B.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Santamarina and Circulo Deportivo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santamarina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santamarina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Circulo Deportivo have managed 0.62 goals a game lately — Santamarina are scoring more at 0.72.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 20%
Circulo Deportivo Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santamarina | Circulo Deportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo
2:1
Jun 14, 2026 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Santamarina
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo
4:0
Jul 26, 2025 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Santamarina
1:0
May 24, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santamarina Compare
Top Goalscorer San Martin B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Devesa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Circulo Deportivo Compare
Top Goalscorer Barberini V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santamarina 32 / 100
Circulo Deportivo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santamarina Circulo Deportivo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Circulo Deportivo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Circulo Deportivo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Santamarina found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Santamarina VS Circulo Deportivo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Santamarina
(Home) 13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3 Costa Brava
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0 Santamarina
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1 Circulo Deportivo
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0 Santamarina
17 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 0 Fundacion Amigos
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3 Costa Brava
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1 Circulo Deportivo
17 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 0 Fundacion Amigos
08 Aug
Santamarina
0 : 1 San Martin Mendoza
11 Jul
Santamarina
0 : 0 Alvarado
Page 1 of 3
Circulo Deportivo
(Away) 13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1 Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1 Circulo Deportivo
22 Aug
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 1 Costa Brava
16 Aug
Juventud U.U.
0 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1 Circulo Deportivo
16 Aug
Juventud U.U.
0 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
12 Aug
Deportivo Rincon
0 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
02 Aug
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia E.R. | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Boca Unidos | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Defensores de Vilelas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 4 | Atletico Escobar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 11 |
| 5 | El Linqueno | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 10 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 7 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Mendoza | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Fundacion Amigos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Germinal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Costa Brava | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 9 | Santamarina | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:13 | 6 |
| 10 | Sol de Mayo | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:13 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
