Sport Picks
Santamarina vs San Martin Mendoza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin, Tandil 
Match Events
54'
54'
Sub
Meza F. In: Di Carlo R.
Out: Meza F.
54'
54'
Sub
Benitez M. In: Chavez T.
Out: Benitez M.
67'
67'
Sub
Batistella E. In: Herensperger R.
Out: Batistella E.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Santamarina and San Martin Mendoza finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin Mendoza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Martin Mendoza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Martin Mendoza carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 19%
San Martin Mendoza Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santamarina | San Martin Mendoza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs San Martin Mendoza
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 Torneo Federal
San Martin Mendoza vs Santamarina
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santamarina Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
San Martin Mendoza Compare
Top Goalscorer Rivarola F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santamarina 32 / 100
San Martin Mendoza 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santamarina San Martin Mendoza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Martin Mendoza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Santamarina's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
San Martin Mendoza has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Santamarina stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Santamarina VS San Martin Mendoza
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Santamarina
(Home) 20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0 Santamarina
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3 Costa Brava
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0 Santamarina
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1 Circulo Deportivo
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0 Santamarina
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3 Costa Brava
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1 Circulo Deportivo
17 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 0 Fundacion Amigos
08 Aug
Santamarina
0 : 1 San Martin Mendoza
11 Jul
Santamarina
0 : 0 Alvarado
Page 1 of 3
San Martin Mendoza
(Away) 20 Sept
Juventud U.U.
0 : 0 San Martin Mendoza
13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
06 Sept
Guillermo Brown
1 : 1 San Martin Mendoza
29 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
0 : 2 Fundacion Amigos
23 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 San Martin Mendoza
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Juventud U.U.
0 : 0 San Martin Mendoza
06 Sept
Guillermo Brown
1 : 1 San Martin Mendoza
23 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 San Martin Mendoza
08 Aug
Santamarina
0 : 1 San Martin Mendoza
12 Jul
Fundacion Amigos
0 : 0 San Martin Mendoza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia E.R. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | El Linqueno | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensores de Vilelas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Brava | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 2 | San Martin Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Fundacion Amigos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Germinal | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 10 | Santamarina | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
