Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santana EC vs Rio Norte Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Amapaense 2 game between Santana EC and Rio Norte finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Santana EC
15%
Draws
44%
Rio Norte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santana EC come out ahead of Rio Norte on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Rio Norte taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Santana EC Clean Sheet 10%
Rio Norte Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santana EC Rio Norte
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 1
Losses 18 0
Goals Scored 1.52 2.25
Goals Conceded 3.13 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Amapaense 2
Santana EC vs Rio Norte
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santana EC 18 / 100
Rio Norte 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santana EC Rio Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Norte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Santana EC scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Santana EC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Rio Norte conceded in 25% of 8 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santana EC VS Rio Norte
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
4 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santana EC

(Home)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
28 May
Bare AP
1 : 2
Santana EC
19 May
Santana EC
3 : 0
Canario
11 May
ADEC
0 : 3
Santana EC
Page 1 of 7

Rio Norte

(Away)
26 Jun
Portuguesa AP
0 : 2
Rio Norte
22 Jun
Rio Norte
2 : 0
Sao Paulo AP
15 Jun
Rio Norte
0 : 0
Portuguesa AP
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
30 May
Rio Norte
1 : 0
Cruzeiro AP
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa AP 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
2 Cruzeiro AP 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
3 Santana EC 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Latitude Zero 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Lagoa 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
6 Renovacao 6 0 1 5 3:12 1
Promotion - Amapaense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Norte 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Sao Paulo AP 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Canario 6 3 0 3 9:13 9
4 Mazagao 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
5 ADEC 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
6 Bare AP 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
Promotion - Amapaense 2 (Play Offs)