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Sant'Angelo vs Pavia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sant'Angelo
35%
Draws
23%
Pavia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sant'Angelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Pavia haven't matched Sant'Angelo's recent run of results.
  • Sant'Angelo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 20%
Pavia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sant'Angelo Pavia
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.2 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Pavia
0:0
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Pavia vs Sant'Angelo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sant'Angelo 76 / 100
Pavia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sant'Angelo Pavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sant'Angelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sant'Angelo scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sant'Angelo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Pavia conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sant'Angelo VS Pavia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sant'Angelo

(Home)
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
06 Sept
Correggese
1 : 1
Sant'Angelo
23 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6

Pavia

(Away)
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Solbiatese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4
AlbinoLeffe
19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1
Pavia
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Pro Patria 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
3 Lentigione 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
4 Pro Sesto 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
5 Correggese 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
6 Sant'Angelo 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Varesina 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 USD Casatese 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
9 Cittadella Vis Modena 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Castellanzese 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
11 Oltrepo 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
12 Pavia 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
13 Varese FC 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
14 Solbiatese 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
15 Tropical Coriano 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
16 Crema 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Arconatese 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
18 US Pontedera 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)