Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sant'Angelo vs Varesina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Opoola M.
84' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Sant'Angelo and Varesina finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sant'Angelo
30%
Draws
23%
Varesina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sant'Angelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sant'Angelo come out ahead of Varesina on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 68%
Varesina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sant'Angelo Varesina
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Varesina
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sant'Angelo vs Varesina
0:2
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Varesina vs Sant'Angelo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sant'Angelo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Varesina Compare

Top Goalscorer Opoola M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sant'Angelo 41 / 100
Varesina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sant'Angelo Varesina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sant'Angelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varesina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Sant'Angelo's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sant'Angelo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sant'Angelo VS Varesina
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sant'Angelo

(Home)
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0
Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0
Pavia
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6

Varesina

(Away)
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2
Varesina
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2
Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
2 Pro Sesto 5 4 0 1 16:4 12
3 Pro Patria 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
4 USD Casatese 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
5 Lentigione 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
6 Castellanzese 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
7 Sant'Angelo 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Pavia 5 1 4 0 4:1 7
9 Cittadella Vis Modena 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
10 Correggese 5 2 1 2 5:8 7
11 Varese FC 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
12 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
13 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
14 Varesina 5 1 1 3 7:10 4
15 Oltrepo 5 1 0 4 3:12 3
16 Arconatese 5 0 2 3 3:12 2
17 Crema 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
18 US Pontedera 4 0 0 4 3:12 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)