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Santanyi vs Atletico Rafal Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 game between Santanyi and Atletico Rafal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Rafal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Santanyi
35%
Draws
16%
Atletico Rafal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santanyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santanyi come out ahead of Atletico Rafal on wins alone.
  • Model gives Santanyi a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Rafal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santanyi Atletico Rafal
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.26 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Atletico Rafal
0:1
Sep 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs Santanyi
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santanyi 85 / 100
Atletico Rafal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santanyi Atletico Rafal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santanyi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico Rafal conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Santanyi scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Santanyi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santanyi VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santanyi

(Home)
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Rafal

(Away)
17 May
UD Poblense
9 : 1
Atletico Rafal
09 May
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2
CD Son Cladera
03 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 0
Atletico Rafal
26 Apr
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2
Mercadal
18 Apr
CD Montuiri
4 : 1
Atletico Rafal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 38 25 8 5 90:27 83
2 Pena Deportiva 38 24 8 6 75:33 80
3 Formentera 38 24 8 6 58:27 80
4 Binissalem 38 18 13 7 56:31 67
5 Mercadal 38 19 8 11 55:53 65
6 UD Poblense 38 17 13 8 60:35 64
7 Alcudia 38 16 12 10 59:41 60
8 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 17 3 18 47:51 54
9 Llosetense 38 15 9 14 54:53 54
10 Manacor 38 14 11 13 63:62 53
11 Collerense 38 16 5 17 60:60 53
12 Platges de Calvia 38 12 13 13 41:40 49
13 Campos 38 12 11 15 51:54 47
14 Ferriolense 38 12 9 17 41:50 45
15 Atletico Rafal 38 10 12 16 42:65 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 10 10 18 47:60 40
17 CD Montuiri 38 10 8 20 42:53 38
18 Rotlet Molinar 38 11 4 23 43:84 37
19 Felanitx 38 6 8 24 27:65 26
20 Santanyi 38 2 7 29 26:93 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)