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Santanyi vs Constancia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Pou T.
41' Event
Ferrer M.
77' Event
Nebot J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Santanyi and Constancia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Santanyi
35%
Draws
40%
Constancia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Constancia come out ahead of Santanyi on wins alone.
  • Constancia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 10%
Constancia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santanyi Constancia
Matches Played 38 36
Wins 12 20
Draws 10 7
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.26 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Constancia
1:1
Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Santanyi
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Constancia
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Constancia
2:3
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Santanyi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Nebot J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santanyi 18 / 100
Constancia 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santanyi Constancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santanyi's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Santanyi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Constancia conceded in 56% of 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santanyi VS Constancia
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santanyi

(Home)
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
22 Aug
Santanyi
0 : 2
Porreres
Page 1 of 8

Constancia

(Away)
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Alcudia 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 SD Ibiza 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
4 PE Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
5 Formentera 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
6 Santanyi 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
7 Constancia 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
8 Cardassar 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
9 Mercadal 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
10 Llosetense 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
11 Platges de Calvia 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
12 Porreres 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
13 Andratx 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
14 Arenal 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Sineu 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
16 Binissalem 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
17 Migjorn 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
18 Inter Ibiza 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)