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Santanyi vs Portmany

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Lopez D.
90' Event
Esteve M.

AI Match Summary

Santanyi in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santanyi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santanyi
35%
Draws
25%
Portmany
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santanyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Santanyi have won more games recently than Portmany.
  • Santanyi are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 68%
Portmany Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santanyi Portmany
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.2 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Santanyi
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Portmany
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Santanyi
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Portmany
1:3
Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Portmany
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Esteve M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Portmany Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santanyi 86 / 100
Portmany 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santanyi Portmany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santanyi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmany's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Santanyi's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Santanyi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santanyi VS Portmany
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Santanyi

(Home)
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
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Portmany

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)