Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Lourenco G.
26'
26'
Sub
Oliveira F. In: Pipo
Out: Oliveira F.
32'
32'
Sub
Klimov K. In: Isnaba G.
Out: Klimov K.
AI Match Summary
Caldas SC in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caldas SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Caldas SC lately — more wins on the board than Santarem.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Santarem Clean Sheet 21%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santarem | Caldas SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Liga 3
Santarem vs Caldas SC
0:1
Dec 19, 2025 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Santarem
0:2
Sep 24, 2025 Liga 3
Santarem vs Caldas SC
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Santarem
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 Liga 3
Santarem vs Caldas SC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santarem Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Caldas SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Chaves G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santarem 32 / 100
Caldas SC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santarem Caldas SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caldas SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santarem's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Caldas SC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Santarem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Santarem VS Caldas SC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Santarem
(Home) 20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0 Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2 Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1 Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0 Santarem
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1 Oliveirense
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0 Merelinense
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1 Caldas SC
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1 Oliveirense
31 Jul
Santarem
0 : 0 Academica
16 May
Santarem
2 : 2 Varzim
Page 1 of 4
Caldas SC
(Away) 13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0 Vitoria Sernache
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1 Caldas SC
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3 Sintrense
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4 Louletano
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0 Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1 Caldas SC
08 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0 Caldas SC
02 May
1º Dezembro
2 : 1 Caldas SC
18 Apr
Atletico CP
2 : 0 Caldas SC
12 Apr
Amora
1 : 2 Caldas SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 6 | Leca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Santarem | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
