Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Santarem

5 - 0

Merelinense

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

49'

66'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. This leg finished 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Santarem

20%

Draws

47%

Merelinense

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Merelinense have won more games recently than Santarem.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Merelinense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Santarem, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Santarem Clean Sheet 18%

Merelinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santarem	Merelinense
Matches Played	34	32
Wins	8	12
Draws	12	9
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0.94	1.34
Goals Conceded	1.18	1.28
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Santarem vs Merelinense

5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarem 32 / 100

Merelinense 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santarem Merelinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Merelinense conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Santarem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santarem found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Santarem VS Merelinense

0.88 Goals Scored 1

1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarem

(Home)

20 Sept

Santarem

5 : 0

Merelinense

12 Sept

Louletano

1 : 2

Santarem

04 Sept

Santarem

0 : 1

Caldas SC

22 Aug

CF Os Belenenses

5 : 0

Santarem

14 Aug

Santarem

1 : 1

Oliveirense

Page 1 of 7

Merelinense

(Away)

20 Sept

Santarem

5 : 0

Merelinense

30 Aug

Merelinense

2 : 0

Atletico Arcos

16 Apr

Merelinense

1 : 0

Tirsense

08 Apr

Vilar de Perdizes

1 : 1

Merelinense

02 Apr

Merelinense

2 : 1

Desportivo Moncao

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

TBD -

1/64-finals

Atletico CP 4

Lagoa 1

Naval 1893 0

FC Felgueiras 2

Sintrense 0

AFS 2

Mortagua FC 0

Leca 2

Oliveirense 1

Penafiel 2

SC Salgueiros 1

Feirense 0

Cinfaes 0

Leixoes 4

O Elvas CAD 0

Leiria 2

Real SC 1

Academica 4

Castro Daire 0

Portimonense 1

Sacavenense 0

SC Farense 1

Vila Pouca 0

Brito 5

Guarda FC 2

Chaves 3

Alcains 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Bombarralense 0

Vizela 1

Fazendense 6

Figueirense 1

GD Alcochetense 2

C.F. Benfica 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Juv. Evora 2

Beira Mar 0

CF Os Belenenses 2

AD Limianos 3

Aljustrelense 0

Serpa 1

Louletano 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 0

Anca 1

Sanjoanense 4

Camacha -

Florgrade -

AD Fafe 4

Lajense 0

FC Madalena 1

Lusitania FC 3

Ponte da Barca 0

Amarante FC 2

ACDR Lamelas 4

Santo Antonio 1

Olhanense 1

Portel 0

Santarem 5

Merelinense 0

Vitoria Sernache 2

Varzim 1

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 0

GD Braganca 6

Celoricense 1

Paredes 5

Maria de Fonte 1

Imortal 1

Tondela 5

Mafra 3

Tirsense 2

Fatima 4

Vinhais 1

UD Ovarense 0

Os Marialvas 1

Amora 3

Uniao Da Serra 4

Estrela Calheta 1

SC Vianense 3

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Santarem vs Merelinense

Portugal

Santarem

Merelinense

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Santarem

Merelinense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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