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Santarem vs Rio Maior SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Santarem Logo

Santarem

5 - 1
FT
Rio Maior SC Logo

Rio Maior SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 game between Santarem and Rio Maior SC finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santarem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Santarem
20%
Draws
10%
Rio Maior SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santarem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Santarem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Santarem taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Santarem Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Maior SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santarem Rio Maior SC
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 8 1
Draws 11 3
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Rio Maior SC vs Santarem
0:0
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santarem vs Rio Maior SC
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarem 51 / 100
Rio Maior SC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santarem Rio Maior SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Maior SC has conceded goals in 94% of their last 17 outings.

Santarem found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Santarem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santarem VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarem

(Home)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1
Oliveirense
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Rio Maior SC

(Away)
29 Jan
Pero Pinheiro
3 : 0
Rio Maior SC
22 Jan
Rio Maior SC
2 : 3
GD Coruchense
15 Jan
Sintrense
4 : 0
Rio Maior SC
08 Jan
Santarem
5 : 1
Rio Maior SC
17 Dec
Rio Maior SC
1 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)