Sport Picks
Santarem vs Vitoria Sernache - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Campo Cha das Padeiras, Santarem 
AI Match Summary
Santarem host Vitoria Sernache in the Liga 3. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Vitoria Sernache have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Santarem have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Santarem slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 7, 2024, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.31) point toward Vitoria Sernache. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vitoria Sernache carry the better recent record into this one.
- Santarem are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Santarem have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santarem | Vitoria Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santarem found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Solid form: Santarem remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Vitoria Sernache lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Santarem
(Home)Vitoria Sernache
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Leca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Santarem | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 8 | Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
