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Santarritense vs Venda Nova FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
40' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

Venda Nova FC in this Mineiro 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venda Nova FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Santarritense
15%
Draws
85%
Venda Nova FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venda Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santarritense lately — more wins on the board than Venda Nova FC.
  • Model gives Venda Nova FC a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Santarritense Clean Sheet 16%
Venda Nova FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santarritense Venda Nova FC
Matches Played 23 4
Wins 8 3
Draws 7 1
Losses 8 0
Goals Scored 0.87 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.96 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Mineiro 3
Santarritense vs Venda Nova FC
0:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarritense 10 / 100
Venda Nova FC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santarritense Venda Nova FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venda Nova FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Santarritense scored in 39% of their last 23 outings.

Defensive concern: Venda Nova FC conceded in 25% of 4 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santarritense VS Venda Nova FC
1 Goals Scored 2.6
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.2
25% Over 1.5 60%
13% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarritense

(Home)
10 Oct
Nova Lavras
13 : 0
Santarritense
02 Oct
Inter de Minas
7 : 1
Santarritense
27 Sept
Santarritense
0 : 8
Venda Nova FC
21 Sept
Nacional de Muriae
3 : 0
Santarritense
29 Sept
Novo Esporte
4 : 0
Santarritense
Page 1 of 5

Venda Nova FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Venda Nova FC
3 : 0
Inter de Minas
03 Oct
Novo Esporte
0 : 0
Venda Nova FC
27 Sept
Santarritense
0 : 8
Venda Nova FC
19 Sept
Venda Nova FC
2 : 1
Nova Lavras

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venda Nova FC 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Nacional de Muriae 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Novo Esporte 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
4 Nova Lavras 4 2 0 2 18:4 6
5 Inter de Minas 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
6 Santarritense 4 0 0 4 1:31 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betim FC 2 4 4 0 0 6:0 12
2 Paracatu 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
3 Sao Joao del Rei 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
4 Funorte EC 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
5 Araxa 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
6 Siderurgica 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)