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Santegidiese vs Termoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santegidiese host Termoli in the Serie D - Group F. Little to choose between these two on current form. Santegidiese have averaged 0.78 scored and 1.89 conceded recently, against Termoli's 0.66 scored and 0.83 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.06) point toward Termoli. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Santegidiese
15%
Draws
51%
Termoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Termoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Santegidiese haven't matched Termoli's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Santegidiese Clean Sheet 20%
Termoli Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santegidiese Termoli
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 0.78 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.89 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santegidiese 36 / 100
Termoli 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santegidiese Termoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santegidiese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Termoli has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Termoli's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Solid form: Santegidiese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santegidiese VS Termoli
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santegidiese

(Home)
18 Oct
Santegidiese
0 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
11 Oct
Aquila Calcio
2 : 1
Santegidiese
04 Oct
Santegidiese
1 : 3
Giulianova
27 Sept
Maceratese
1 : 1
Santegidiese
20 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 0
Angelana
Page 1 of 2

Termoli

(Away)
18 Oct
Teramo
1 : 0
Termoli
11 Oct
Fossombrone
1 : 2
Termoli
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
2 : 1
Termoli
04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0
Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)