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Santo Crucifixo vs Mindelense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2023 game between Santo Crucifixo and Mindelense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mindelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Santo Crucifixo
30%
Draws
47%
Mindelense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Santo Crucifixo haven't matched Mindelense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mindelense a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mindelense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Santo Crucifixo Clean Sheet 10%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santo Crucifixo Mindelense
Matches Played 18 34
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 0.89 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Santo Crucifixo
2:0
Jun 11, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Santo Crucifixo vs Mindelense
0:1
Apr 22, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Santo Crucifixo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santo Crucifixo 10 / 100
Mindelense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santo Crucifixo Mindelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Santo Crucifixo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Santo Crucifixo scored in 56% of their last 18 games.

Mindelense has conceded goals in 56% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Santo Crucifixo VS Mindelense
0.83 Goals Scored 2.13
1.67 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santo Crucifixo

(Home)
14 Jun
CD Benfica
1 : 3
Santo Crucifixo
06 Jun
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 3
Palmeira
31 May
SC Atletico
1 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
24 May
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 0
Cutelinho
09 May
Mindelense
2 : 0
Santo Crucifixo
Page 1 of 4

Mindelense

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 2 0 6:0 14
2 Travadores 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Santo Crucifixo 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
4 Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
2 Vulcanico Clube 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Belo Horizonte 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Sanjoanenses 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Mindelo 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Morabeza 6 2 4 0 6:4 10
3 Figueirense 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams