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Santomera vs FC Puente Tocinos

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 game between Santomera and FC Puente Tocinos finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Puente Tocinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Santomera
28%
Draws
22%
FC Puente Tocinos
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Santomera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santomera a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Santomera Clean Sheet 13%
FC Puente Tocinos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santomera FC Puente Tocinos
Matches Played 38 33
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Puente Tocinos vs Santomera
3:1
Oct 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs FC Puente Tocinos
0:0
Apr 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs FC Puente Tocinos
1:2
Nov 28, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Puente Tocinos vs Santomera
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santomera 48 / 100
FC Puente Tocinos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santomera FC Puente Tocinos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Puente Tocinos conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Santomera found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (38 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Santomera went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santomera VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Futbol Club Jumilla38275684:2686
2Yeclano38266693:3884
3Lorca Deportiva38266695:3684
4UCAM Murcia38265782:3883
5Cartagena La Union38256784:4081
6Pinatar38248668:2880
7Ciudad Cieza38248681:3380
8CA Pulpileno381571661:5652
9Plus Ultra3814101459:5652
10Santomera3812131352:4549
11FC Puente Tocinos381461848:5748
12Club Edeco Fortuna381381750:7347
13Cartagena FC UCAM3811101759:5543
14Beniel381262054:7142
15Calasparra FC38992044:7036
16Base Abaran38872326:8131
17Bala Azul38792247:7630
18Mazarron CF38772440:6928
19CD Lumbreras38533028:12718
20Jumilla CD38353031:11114