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Santomera vs Lorca Deportiva II Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between Santomera and Lorca Deportiva II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santomera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Santomera
30%
Draws
19%
Lorca Deportiva II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santomera come out ahead of Lorca Deportiva II on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Santomera taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Santomera Clean Sheet 14%
Lorca Deportiva II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santomera Lorca Deportiva II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Santomera
3:3
Nov 2, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Lorca Deportiva II
0:0
Apr 5, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Lorca Deportiva II
2:1
Nov 18, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Santomera
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santomera 75 / 100
Lorca Deportiva II 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santomera Lorca Deportiva II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Santomera remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Santomera scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Lorca Deportiva II has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Santomera VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santomera

(Home)
27 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 2
Santomera
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1
Torrellano
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Lorca Deportiva II

(Away)
16 May
Deportivo Murcia
0 : 0
Lorca Deportiva II
09 May
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
CD Lumbreras
02 May
Moratalla
1 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
Mazarron FC
19 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)