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Santomera vs UCAM Murcia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Escamez J.
4' Event
Casanova J.
6' Event
Lopez Moreno E.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Santomera and UCAM Murcia B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santomera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Santomera
35%
Draws
30%
UCAM Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • UCAM Murcia B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Santomera Clean Sheet 11%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santomera UCAM Murcia B
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 14
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.55 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs UCAM Murcia B
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs UCAM Murcia B
2:4
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Santomera
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs UCAM Murcia B
3:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Santomera
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santomera Compare

Top Goalscorer Casanova J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez Moreno E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Escamez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santomera 30 / 100
UCAM Murcia B 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santomera UCAM Murcia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Santomera found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

UCAM Murcia B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Santomera went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santomera VS UCAM Murcia B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santomera

(Home)
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1
Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
19 Aug
Santomera
1 : 4
Crevillente
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UCAM Murcia B

(Away)
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Muleno CF
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
3 : 3
Mazarron FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bullas Deportivo 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Molinense 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
3 CA Pulpileno 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4 San Javier 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
5 Santomera 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Cotillas CD 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
7 Bala Azul 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
8 Minerva 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
9 UCAM Murcia B 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
10 Santa Cruz 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
11 UD Los Garres 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Aguilas FC B 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
13 Alcantarilla 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Club Olimpico de Totana 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
16 Mazarron FC 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
17 CD Algar 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
18 Deportivo Maritimo 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)