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Santos AP vs Santana EC

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Taygor Goncalves
26' Event
Eduardo Elias
56' Event
Nunes J. L. A.

AI Match Summary

Santos AP in this Amapaense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos AP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Santos AP
20%
Draws
42%
Santana EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santana EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Santana EC haven't matched Santos AP's recent run of results.
  • Santos AP are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Amapaense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Santos AP Clean Sheet 10%
Santana EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos AP Santana EC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.52 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.23 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 2.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2025 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Santana EC
4:0
Apr 3, 2024 Amapaense
Santana EC vs Santos AP
1:3
May 19, 2023 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Santana EC
0:0
Jun 8, 2022 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Santana EC
2:2
Jul 30, 2021 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Santana EC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Taygor Goncalves
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eduardo Elias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Santana EC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos AP 74 / 100
Santana EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos AP Santana EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos AP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos AP scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Santana EC has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Santos AP has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Santos AP VS Santana EC
1.63 Goals Scored 2.14
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.29
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos AP

(Home)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
24 Mar
Oratorio
1 : 2
Santos AP
21 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1
Oratorio
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
08 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1
Trem
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Santana EC

(Away)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
28 May
Bare AP
1 : 2
Santana EC
19 May
Santana EC
3 : 0
Canario
11 May
ADEC
0 : 3
Santana EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 Independente AP 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Santos AP 7 3 0 4 9:9 9
5 Cristal AP 7 3 2 2 13:7 8
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Portuguesa AP 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
8 Santana EC 7 0 0 7 4:30 0
Promotion - Amapaense 2025 (Play Offs)