Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2018

Sao Paulo AP

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santos AP play Sao Paulo AP in the Campeonato Amapaense 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santos AP averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Sao Paulo AP averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. In past meetings, Santos AP won 3, Sao Paulo AP won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 15, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Santos AP and 1.79 for Sao Paulo AP. This points to a Santos AP double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Santos AP

27%

Draws

19%

Sao Paulo AP

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Santos AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Santos AP picked up more points recently compared to Sao Paulo AP.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.79 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Santos AP Clean Sheet 11%

Sao Paulo AP Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santos AP	Sao Paulo AP
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	16	6
Draws	10	4
Losses	9	20
Goals Scored	1.74	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.11	2.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2024 Amapaense

Santos AP vs Sao Paulo AP

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

May 29, 2023 Amapaense

Sao Paulo AP vs Santos AP

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

0:5

Apr 30, 2022 Amapaense

Sao Paulo AP vs Santos AP

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Aug 31, 2021 Amapaense

Santos AP vs Sao Paulo AP

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Sep 7, 2020 Amapaense

Sao Paulo AP vs Santos AP

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos AP 51 / 100

Sao Paulo AP 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santos AP Sao Paulo AP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos AP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Santos AP & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santos AP attacking → ← attacking Sao Paulo AP

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos AP scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

Sao Paulo AP let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Santos AP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sao Paulo AP lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 22

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.71

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Santos AP	4	4	0	0	9:2	12
2	Ypiranga AP	4	2	1	1	9:6	7
3	Trem	4	1	1	2	3:7	4
4	Macapa	4	0	2	2	2:4	2
5	Sao Paulo AP	4	0	2	2	4:8	2