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Stadium Background

Santos FC vs ADA Jaen

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Municipal de Nasca
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Maciel E.
28'
Sub
Rodriguez F. In: Valencia J.
Out: Rodriguez F.
39' Event
Salinas T.

AI Match Summary

ADA Jaen in this Liga 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored ADA Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santos FC
44%
Draws
20%
ADA Jaen
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • ADA Jaen haven't matched Santos FC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 20%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos FC ADA Jaen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 13
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs ADA Jaen
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Santos FC
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Liga 2
Santos FC vs ADA Jaen
1:2
Aug 11, 2024 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Santos FC
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Curiel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

ADA Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos FC 36 / 100
ADA Jaen 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos FC ADA Jaen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Santos FC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

ADA Jaen has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Santos FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos FC VS ADA Jaen
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cajamarca833210:814
2Moquegua833214:1113
3Cesar Vallejo832310:1011
4Tacna Heroica824211:1210
5Carlos Mannucci822415:198
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio870118:421
2Comerciantes FC823312:711
3ADA Jaen82429:910
4Santos FC831410:1110
5San Marcos81254:226