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Santos FC vs Alianza Huanuco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Municipal de Nasca, Nazca
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Torres S.
9' Event
Sernaque J.
40'
Curiel M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Santos FC and Alianza Huanuco finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Santos FC
35%
Draws
19%
Alianza Huanuco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Santos FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Santos FC taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos FC Alianza Huanuco
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Alianza Huanuco
3:3
May 4, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Santos FC
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Santos FC
3:0
Oct 9, 2024 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Alianza Huanuco
1:2
Sep 16, 2024 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Alianza Huanuco
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quiroz G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Sernaque J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos FC 59 / 100
Alianza Huanuco 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos FC Alianza Huanuco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Santos FC scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Alianza Huanuco let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Santos FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santos FC VS Alianza Huanuco
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos FC

(Home)
07 Oct
AD Cantolao
0 : 3
Santos FC
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
05 Sept
Santos FC
4 : 1
Estudiantil CNI
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
17 Aug
Santos FC
3 : 3
Alianza Huanuco
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Alianza Huanuco

(Away)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
29 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)