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Santos FC vs Binacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Municipal de Nasca, Nazca
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santos FC host Binacional in the Liga 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Santos FC at 1.18 goals for, 1.39 against; Binacional at 0.81 for, 2.63 against. Head-to-head, Santos FC have won 1 to Binacional's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (3.31 xG vs 1.25) point toward Santos FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santos FC
30%
Draws
39%
Binacional
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Binacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santos FC lately — more wins on the board than Binacional.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Santos FC taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 19%
Binacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos FC Binacional
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 4
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.18 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Binacional
3:1
Mar 28, 2026 Liga 2
Binacional vs Santos FC
1:1
Jul 22, 2024 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Binacional
0:0
Jun 2, 2024 Liga 2
Binacional vs Santos FC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos FC 85 / 100
Binacional 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos FC Binacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binacional's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Santos FC found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Santos FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos FC VS Binacional
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 5.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos FC

(Home)
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
05 Sept
Santos FC
4 : 1
Estudiantil CNI
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
17 Aug
Santos FC
3 : 3
Alianza Huanuco
08 Aug
Sport Huancayo 2
2 : 0
Santos FC
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Binacional

(Away)
25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
04 Sept
Sport Huancayo 2
7 : 0
Binacional
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
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