Sport Picks
Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & H2H Stats
Mexico
Liga MX Estadio Corona, Torreón 
Match Events
53'
53'
Sub
Ledezma R. In: Sandoval S.
Out: Ledezma R.
53'
53'
Sub
Aguirre E. In: Sordo R.
Out: Aguirre E.
64'
64'
Sub
Carrillo J. In: Alvarez E.
Out: Carrillo J.
AI Match Summary
Guadalajara Chivas in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos Laguna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Guadalajara Chivas have won more games recently than Santos Laguna.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Guadalajara Chivas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Santos Laguna Clean Sheet 12%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santos Laguna | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2026 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna
3:0
Aug 11, 2025 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna
3:1
Jan 12, 2025 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santos Laguna 30 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santos Laguna Guadalajara Chivas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santos Laguna found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Santos Laguna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Guadalajara Chivas let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Santos Laguna VS Guadalajara Chivas
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Santos Laguna
(Home) 27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0 Pachuca
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3 Santos Laguna
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1 Juarez
06 Sept
Cruz Azul
1 : 0 Santos Laguna
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0 Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0 Pachuca
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1 Juarez
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0 Tigres UANL
17 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
26 Jul
Santos Laguna
0 : 1 Atlas
Page 1 of 3
Guadalajara Chivas
(Away) 26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2 Queretaro
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0 UNAM Pumas
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
17 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
13 Aug
Seattle Sounders
1 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Club America | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Queretaro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Club Leon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Puebla | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlante | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 8 |
| 18 | Juarez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
