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Santos Laguna vs Queretaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Corona, Torreón
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santos Laguna host Queretaro in the Liga MX. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Queretaro have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Santos Laguna have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, Santos Laguna have won 2 to Queretaro's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.25) back Queretaro to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santos Laguna
20%
Draws
40%
Queretaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Queretaro lately — more wins on the board than Santos Laguna.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santos Laguna Clean Sheet 19%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Laguna Queretaro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 10
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Santos Laguna
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Queretaro
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Queretaro
1:2
Nov 9, 2024 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Santos Laguna
3:2
Mar 2, 2024 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Santos Laguna
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Laguna 32 / 100
Queretaro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Laguna Queretaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Santos Laguna scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Queretaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Santos Laguna has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santos Laguna VS Queretaro
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos Laguna

(Home)
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0
Pachuca
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3
Santos Laguna
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1
Juarez
06 Sept
Cruz Azul
1 : 0
Santos Laguna
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 6

Queretaro

(Away)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
22 Aug
Queretaro
1 : 2
Toluca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)