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Santos Laguna vs UNAM Pumas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Corona, Torreón
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
03:10 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santos Laguna host UNAM Pumas in the Liga MX. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Santos Laguna at 1.18 goals for, 1.5 against; UNAM Pumas at 1.52 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, Santos Laguna have won 1 to UNAM Pumas's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.13, favoring UNAM Pumas. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Santos Laguna
20%
Draws
24%
UNAM Pumas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santos Laguna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Santos Laguna have produced (1.18).
  • Santos Laguna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Santos Laguna Clean Sheet 20%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Laguna UNAM Pumas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Santos Laguna
4:0
Jul 13, 2025 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs UNAM Pumas
3:0
Apr 17, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Santos Laguna
2:0
Jul 14, 2024 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs UNAM Pumas
1:1
Feb 19, 2024 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Santos Laguna
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Laguna 85 / 100
UNAM Pumas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Laguna UNAM Pumas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Laguna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos Laguna scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: UNAM Pumas conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Santos Laguna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos Laguna VS UNAM Pumas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos Laguna

(Home)
11 Oct
Atletico San Luis
1 : 2
Santos Laguna
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0
Pachuca
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3
Santos Laguna
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1
Juarez
06 Sept
Cruz Azul
1 : 0
Santos Laguna
Page 1 of 6

UNAM Pumas

(Away)
12 Oct
UNAM Pumas
3 : 3
Cruz Azul
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 10 6 3 1 22:11 21
2 Atlas 12 6 3 3 19:18 21
3 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
4 Queretaro 10 6 2 2 15:8 20
5 Guadalajara Chivas 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
6 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 5 2 4 22:21 17
8 Club Tijuana 11 4 4 3 15:14 16
9 UNAM Pumas 12 4 4 4 19:20 16
10 Puebla 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
11 Monterrey 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
12 Pachuca 11 3 4 4 18:14 13
13 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
14 Santos Laguna 11 4 1 6 12:16 13
15 Atletico San Luis 11 3 3 5 15:20 12
16 Atlante 12 2 5 5 13:19 11
17 Necaxa 12 2 3 7 15:25 9
18 Juarez 11 1 1 9 8:26 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)