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Santos PA vs Caete

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 game between Santos PA and Caete finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos PA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Santos PA
30%
Draws
31%
Caete
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos PA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Caete have managed 0.8 goals a game lately — Santos PA are scoring more at 1.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Santos PA Clean Sheet 20%
Caete Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos PA Caete
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Paraense A2
Santos PA vs Caete
3:1
May 2, 2026 Paraense A2
Caete vs Santos PA
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos PA 32 / 100
Caete 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos PA Caete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caete's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Santos PA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Caete registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos PA VS Caete
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos PA

(Home)
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
23 May
Canaa
0 : 0
Santos PA
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
09 May
Santos PA
2 : 2
Canaa
Page 1 of 5

Caete

(Away)
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)