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Santos PA vs Paraense SC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paraense A3 2025
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AI Match Summary

Santos PA in this Paraense A3 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Santos PA
30%
Draws
31%
Paraense SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos PA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Santos PA have won more games recently than Paraense SC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Santos PA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santos PA, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Santos PA Clean Sheet 16%
Paraense SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos PA Paraense SC
Matches Played 21 10
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 1
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2025 Paraense A3
Santos PA vs Paraense SC
3:0
Nov 3, 2025 Paraense A3
Paraense SC vs Santos PA
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos PA 31 / 100
Paraense SC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos PA Paraense SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Paraense SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 10 matches.

Santos PA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Paraense SC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos PA VS Paraense SC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos PA

(Home)
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
23 May
Canaa
0 : 0
Santos PA
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
09 May
Santos PA
2 : 2
Canaa
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Paraense SC

(Away)
23 Sept
Paraense SC
1 : 3
Tesla
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
13 Sept
Tesla
0 : 1
Paraense SC
05 Sept
Paraense SC
0 : 0
Pinheirense
06 Nov
Santos PA
3 : 0
Paraense SC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Gaviao 2
Sport Belem 1
Tesla 1
Atletico Paraense 12
Paraense SC 3
Santos PA 4
Venus 2
Belenense 3
Semi-finals
Gaviao 2
Atletico Paraense 5
Santos PA 5
Belenense 4
Final
Atletico Paraense 1
Santos PA 0