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Santos Tartu vs Flora Tallinn U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santos Tartu play Flora Tallinn U21 in the Esiliiga 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santos Tartu averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Flora Tallinn U21 averaged 2.11 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, Santos Tartu won 0, Flora Tallinn U21 won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 11, 2018 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Santos Tartu and 1.93 for Flora Tallinn U21. This points to a Flora Tallinn U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Santos Tartu
19%
Draws
47%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Flora Tallinn U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Santos Tartu picked up more points recently compared to Flora Tallinn U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 10%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Tartu Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.47 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.74

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0
Jul 14, 2018 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Santos Tartu
7:0
May 6, 2018 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Santos Tartu
3:0
Mar 29, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:6
Oct 19, 2017 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Laas K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorga E.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Soomre J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Tartu 33 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Tartu Flora Tallinn U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Flora Tallinn U21 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santos Tartu attacking → ← attacking Flora Tallinn U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos Tartu scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Flora Tallinn U21 let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Santos Tartu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Flora Tallinn U21 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 57
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maardu Linnameeskond362916126:3888
2Flora Tallinn U21362187115:3171
3Levadia U21361871167:5661
4Elva3615101151:6455
5Rakvere3614101259:6052
6Tartu JK Welco361261844:7842
7Santos Tartu361181747:6841
8Tallinna Kalev U21361091737:5239
9Keila JK361052141:8835
10Kalju U2136562537:8921