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Santos Tartu vs Keila JK

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Uusla M.
21'
Tikenberg T.
41' Event
Reinberg K.

AI Match Summary

Santos Tartu in this Esiliiga 2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Santos Tartu
28%
Draws
50%
Keila JK
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Keila JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santos Tartu lately — more wins on the board than Keila JK.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Keila JK taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 17%
Keila JK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Tartu Keila JK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2018 Esiliiga
Keila JK vs Santos Tartu
4:0
Aug 23, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Keila JK
2:1
May 28, 2018 Esiliiga
Keila JK vs Santos Tartu
3:1
Apr 8, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Keila JK
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinberg K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Keila JK Compare

Top Goalscorer Uusla M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Tartu 23 / 100
Keila JK 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Tartu Keila JK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Keila JK conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Santos Tartu scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Santos Tartu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Keila JK
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 3.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maardu Linnameeskond362916126:3888
2Flora Tallinn U21362187115:3171
3Levadia U21361871167:5661
4Elva3615101151:6455
5Rakvere3614101259:6052
6Tartu JK Welco361261844:7842
7Santos Tartu361181747:6841
8Tallinna Kalev U21361091737:5239
9Keila JK361052141:8835
10Kalju U2136562537:8921