Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga 2015

Kivioli Irbis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santos Tartu play Kivioli Irbis in the Esiliiga 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santos Tartu averaged 1.52 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. Kivioli Irbis averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Santos Tartu won 3, Kivioli Irbis won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 19, 2015 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Santos Tartu and 1.94 for Kivioli Irbis. This points to a Kivioli Irbis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Santos Tartu

15%

Draws

46%

Kivioli Irbis

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kivioli Irbis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Santos Tartu picked up more points recently compared to Kivioli Irbis.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Kivioli Irbis Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santos Tartu	Kivioli Irbis
Matches Played	42	30
Wins	14	13
Draws	7	4
Losses	21	13
Goals Scored	1.52	1.9
Goals Conceded	2.14	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2015 Esiliiga

Kivioli Irbis vs Santos Tartu

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

2:3

Aug 25, 2015 Esiliiga

Santos Tartu vs Kivioli Irbis

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 2 - 4

5:1

May 16, 2015 Esiliiga

Kivioli Irbis vs Santos Tartu

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

7:3

Apr 26, 2015 Esiliiga

Santos Tartu vs Kivioli Irbis

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Sep 11, 2013 Estonian Cup

Kivioli Irbis vs Santos Tartu

Possession: 49% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

0:11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Tartu 37 / 100

Kivioli Irbis 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santos Tartu Kivioli Irbis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kivioli Irbis or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santos Tartu attacking → ← attacking Kivioli Irbis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos Tartu scored in 67% of their last 42 games.

Kivioli Irbis let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.80 goals.

Santos Tartu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kivioli Irbis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 43

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flora Tallinn U21	36	22	6	8	76:40	72
2	Levadia Tallinn II	36	22	5	9	118:57	71
3	FCI Tallinn II	36	20	6	10	108:48	66
4	Rakvere	36	12	11	13	52:53	47
5	Kalju II	36	14	4	18	50:56	46
6	Tallinna Kalev	36	13	7	16	47:59	46
7	Kivioli Irbis	36	13	5	18	60:87	44
8	Santos Tartu	36	12	6	18	56:83	42
9	Vandra Vaprus	36	11	5	20	43:80	38
10	Kuressaare	36	10	7	19	48:95	37