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Santos Tartu vs Tartu JK Welco

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Porila A.
5' Event
Pilvet A.
41'
Vool A.

AI Match Summary

Santos Tartu host Tartu JK Welco in the Esiliiga 2018. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Santos Tartu have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Tartu JK Welco's 3.25 scored and 1.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Santos Tartu have won 3 to Tartu JK Welco's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 4, 2018, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.42 - 2.17) back Tartu JK Welco to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Santos Tartu
11%
Draws
80%
Tartu JK Welco
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Tartu JK Welco has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santos Tartu.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Tartu JK Welco.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Esiliiga 2018 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Tartu Tartu JK Welco
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 21
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0 3.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2018 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Santos Tartu
1:3
Aug 16, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Tartu JK Welco
1:3
Jul 9, 2018 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Santos Tartu
1:5
Jun 7, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Tartu JK Welco
1:2
Sep 13, 2017 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Tartu JK Welco
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Porila A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Top Goalscorer Pilvet A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parn E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Tartu 10 / 100
Tartu JK Welco 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Tartu Tartu JK Welco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos Tartu scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Tartu JK Welco let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Santos Tartu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tartu JK Welco lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tartu JK Welco
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maardu Linnameeskond362916126:3888
2Flora Tallinn U21362187115:3171
3Levadia U21361871167:5661
4Elva3615101151:6455
5Rakvere3614101259:6052
6Tartu JK Welco361261844:7842
7Santos Tartu361181747:6841
8Tallinna Kalev U21361091737:5239
9Keila JK361052141:8835
10Kalju U2136562537:8921