Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santos vs Palmeiras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Vila Belmiro, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Coutinho
38'
Marlon Freitas
60'
Piquerez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Santos
35%
Draws
45%
Palmeiras
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palmeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras lately — more wins on the board than Santos.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Santos Clean Sheet 17%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Palmeiras
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 18
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.61 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Serie A
Santos vs Palmeiras
0:0
Sep 3, 2026 Copa do Brasil
Santos vs Palmeiras
0:0
Aug 27, 2026 Copa do Brasil
Palmeiras vs Santos
3:0
May 2, 2026 Serie A
Palmeiras vs Santos
1:1
Jan 14, 2026 Paulista
Palmeiras vs Santos
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 31 / 100
Palmeiras 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Palmeiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Santos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Palmeiras conceded in 45% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS Palmeiras
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos

(Home)
02 Nov
Bragantino
2 : 1
Santos
28 Oct
Santos
0 : 0
Palmeiras
25 Oct
Santos
1 : 1
Bahia
18 Oct
Fluminense
1 : 2
Santos
11 Oct
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Santos
Page 1 of 6

Palmeiras

(Away)
08 Nov
Vasco
2 : 2
Palmeiras
05 Nov
Palmeiras
6 : 1
Remo
01 Nov
Palmeiras
1 : 0
Vasco
28 Oct
Santos
0 : 0
Palmeiras
24 Oct
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Bragantino
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 34 23 7 4 71:29 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 62:23 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 55:48 60
4 Fluminense 34 16 9 9 55:42 57
5 Athletico-PR 34 15 9 10 51:43 54
6 Bahia 34 14 11 9 50:45 53
7 Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 44:40 50
8 Bragantino 34 13 8 13 44:39 47
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 50:49 47
10 Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 39:39 44
11 Botafogo RJ 34 11 9 14 46:53 42
12 Coritiba 34 11 9 14 40:51 42
13 Vasco 33 11 8 14 43:50 41
14 Mirassol 34 10 10 14 39:48 40
15 Vitoria 34 10 8 16 35:51 38
16 Internacional 34 9 11 14 38:42 38
17 Corinthians 34 9 10 15 36:42 37
18 Gremio 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
19 Remo 34 6 11 17 37:57 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 33 4 9 20 33:68 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)