Sport Picks

Santos vs Recoleta Prediction & H2H Stats

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Santos

1 - 1

Recoleta

Our Tip

Match Events

Neymar

22'

Pereira M.

33'

Neymar

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Santos

15%

Draws

21%

Recoleta

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Santos lately — more wins on the board than Recoleta.
Santos are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Santos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%

Santos Clean Sheet 68%

Recoleta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santos	Recoleta
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	15	8
Draws	8	7
Losses	6	14
Goals Scored	1.69	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.69
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Recoleta vs Santos

1:1

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Santos vs Recoleta

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Neymar

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Recoleta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 77 / 100

Recoleta 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santos Recoleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Santos scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Santos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS Recoleta

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos

(Home)

19 Sept

Remo

1 : 2

Santos

16 Sept

Atletico-MG

5 : 2

Santos

13 Sept

Santos

2 : 1

Cruzeiro

09 Sept

Santos

2 : 0

Atletico-MG

06 Sept

Internacional

2 : 3

Santos

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Recoleta

(Away)

28 Sept

San Lorenzo

0 : 0

Recoleta

24 Sept

Recoleta

3 : 1

Guairena FC

20 Sept

Sp. Luqueno

1 : 0

Recoleta

12 Sept

Recoleta

1 : 3

Sportivo Trinidense

07 Sept

Guarani

2 : 0

Recoleta

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