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Santos vs Velo Clube

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gabriel Barbosa
Assist: Thaciano
17'
Rodrigo
19' Event
Moises
Assist: Gabriel Barbosa

AI Match Summary

The Paulista game between Santos and Velo Clube finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santos
20%
Draws
40%
Velo Clube
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santos come out ahead of Velo Clube on wins alone.
  • Santos are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Paulista form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Santos Clean Sheet 20%
Velo Clube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Velo Clube
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.74 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Paulista
Santos vs Velo Clube
6:0
Jan 25, 2025 Paulista
Velo Clube vs Santos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Barbosa
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moises
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Velo Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 36 / 100
Velo Clube 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Velo Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Velo Clube has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Santos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS Velo Clube
2.13 Goals Scored 1.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos

(Home)
13 Aug
Santos
2 : 1
Macara
09 Aug
Santos
0 : 2
Athletico-PR
05 Aug
Remo
0 : 1
Santos
02 Aug
Santos
0 : 0
Remo
29 Jul
Santos
4 : 2
Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6

Velo Clube

(Away)
12 Jul
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Velo Clube
04 Jul
Velo Clube
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
27 Jun
Agua Santa
1 : 2
Velo Clube
20 Jun
Velo Clube
0 : 0
Agua Santa
07 Jun
Velo Clube
3 : 1
Marica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 8 5 1 2 16:10 16
2 Palmeiras 8 5 1 2 8:7 16
3 Bragantino 8 4 4 0 14:2 16
4 Portuguesa 8 5 0 3 11:7 15
5 Corinthians 8 4 2 2 10:6 14
6 Sao Paulo 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
7 Capivariano 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
8 Santos 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
9 Guarani 8 3 3 2 6:7 12
10 Botafogo SP 8 3 2 3 5:9 11
11 Mirassol 8 2 2 4 10:8 8
12 Primavera EC 8 2 2 4 14:15 8
13 Sao Bernardo 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
14 Noroeste 8 1 5 2 11:11 8
15 Velo Clube 8 1 2 5 2:13 5
16 Ponte Preta 8 0 1 7 3:14 1
Promotion - Paulista (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A2 2027 (Main)