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Santos W vs Portuguesa W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santos W play Portuguesa W in the Paulista Women 2018. Santos W are favorites here. Recently, Santos W averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.05 conceded. Portuguesa W averaged 0.63 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. In past meetings, Santos W won 5, Portuguesa W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 8, 2022 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Santos W and 1.31 for Portuguesa W. This points to a Santos W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Santos W
15%
Draws
11%
Portuguesa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santos W picked up more points recently compared to Portuguesa W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Santos W Clean Sheet 18%
Portuguesa W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos W Portuguesa W
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 21 2
Draws 10 3
Losses 12 25
Goals Scored 2.33 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.05 3.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2022 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Portuguesa W
5:0
Aug 10, 2021 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Santos W
1:4
Jun 15, 2019 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Portuguesa W
8:1
May 1, 2019 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Santos W
0:2
Jul 3, 2018 Brasileiro Women
Santos W vs Portuguesa W
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos W 70 / 100
Portuguesa W 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos W Portuguesa W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Santos W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santos W attacking → ← attacking Portuguesa W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos W scored in 79% of their last 43 games.

Portuguesa W let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Santos W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Portuguesa W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 9
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W1063123:1121
2Ferroviaria W1053227:1518
3Ponte Preta W1051420:1416
4Osasco Audax W1043314:1215
5Francana W1021710:227
6Embu Das Artes W1021711:317
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W12111046:1034
2Santos W1282248:1126
3Sao Jose W1264224:1522
4Taubate W1252520:1717
5CA Juventus W1233611:3012
6Portuguesa W1221915:447
7Centro Olimpico W1201117:441