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Santos W vs Taboao da Serra W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santos W play Taboao da Serra W in the Paulista Women 2011. Santos W are favorites here. Recently, Santos W averaged 2.87 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. Taboao da Serra W averaged 1.32 goals scored and 4.26 conceded. In past meetings, Santos W won 4, Taboao da Serra W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 7, 2011 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Santos W and 1.31 for Taboao da Serra W. This points to a Santos W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Santos W
15%
Draws
23%
Taboao da Serra W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Santos W picked up more points recently compared to Taboao da Serra W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Santos W Clean Sheet 18%
Taboao da Serra W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos W Taboao da Serra W
Matches Played 52 31
Wins 30 10
Draws 10 0
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 2.87 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.92 4.26

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2011 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Taboao da Serra W
8:0
May 21, 2011 Paulista Women
Taboao da Serra W vs Santos W
0:3
Jun 12, 2010 Paulista Women
Taboao da Serra W vs Santos W
0:4
Apr 17, 2010 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Taboao da Serra W
7:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos W 59 / 100
Taboao da Serra W 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos W Taboao da Serra W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Santos W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santos W attacking → ← attacking Taboao da Serra W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos W scored in 83% of their last 52 games.

Taboao da Serra W let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Santos W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Taboao da Serra W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

100 Points in last 5 30
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16141170:1043
2Ferroviaria W16122253:1538
3Francana W16110536:2033
4Botucatu W1692546:929
5America Sao Manuel W1683537:2227
6Sao Judas Tadeu W16501122:3715
7Marilia W16401229:6312
8Piracicaba W16311218:4810
9Paulista W1611147:944
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Jose W181521108:947
2Santos W18151299:1246
3Centro Olimpico W18130580:1739
4Portuguesa W18112551:1835
5CA Juventus W1894555:2231
6Taboao da Serra W18801033:4524
7Taubate W18441019:5216
8Mogi das Cruzes SP W18311417:11610
9Sao Bernardo W18241220:6910
10Sao Vicente W18101713:1353