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Santurtzi vs SCD Durango

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Fernandez D.
28' Event
Guerras A.
61' Event
Oyarbide A.

AI Match Summary

Santurtzi in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santurtzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Santurtzi
20%
Draws
51%
SCD Durango
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SCD Durango lately — more wins on the board than Santurtzi.
  • Model gives SCD Durango a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 17%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santurtzi SCD Durango
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs SCD Durango
2:1
May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Santurtzi
4:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs SCD Durango
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Santurtzi
2:2
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs SCD Durango
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santurtzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerras A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

SCD Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyarbide A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santurtzi 20 / 100
SCD Durango 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santurtzi SCD Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Santurtzi found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: SCD Durango conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Santurtzi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santurtzi VS SCD Durango
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santurtzi

(Home)
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
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SCD Durango

(Away)
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
03 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
SCD Durango
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves C 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Sodupe 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Beasain 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4 Real Sociedad C 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
5 Aurrera de Vitoria 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 UD Aretxabaleta 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 SD Erandio 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
8 Santurtzi 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
9 Real Union B 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
10 San Ignacio 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
11 Leioa 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
12 Eibar C 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
13 Derio 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 SCD Durango 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
15 Touring KE 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Lagun Onak 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Pasaia 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
18 Amurrio Club 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)