Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022

Santutxu FC

2 - 3

Tolosa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tolosa in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tolosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Santutxu FC

Draws

Tolosa

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santutxu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Tolosa lately — more wins on the board than Santutxu FC.
90% — that's where the model lands on Santutxu FC taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Santutxu FC Clean Sheet 68%

Tolosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santutxu FC	Tolosa
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	6
Draws	11	3
Losses	14	21
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.13	2.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Tolosa vs Santutxu FC

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

3:4

Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Santutxu FC vs Tolosa

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

2:3

Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Santutxu FC vs Tolosa

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Nov 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Tolosa vs Santutxu FC

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Tolosa vs Santutxu FC

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santutxu FC 95 / 100

Tolosa 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santutxu FC Tolosa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolosa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Tolosa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Santutxu FC scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Santutxu FC VS Tolosa

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alaves B	38	21	13	4	72:31	76
2	Beasain	38	19	13	6	65:36	70
3	Portugalete	38	19	13	6	60:33	70
4	Barakaldo	38	20	9	9	64:46	69
5	Basconia	38	18	11	9	45:32	65
6	CD Vitoria	38	16	11	11	55:49	59
7	San Ignacio	38	17	7	14	57:48	58
8	SCD Durango	38	13	18	7	42:29	57
9	Leioa	38	15	11	12	55:38	56
10	Anaitasuna FT	38	14	10	14	48:49	52
11	Lagun Onak	38	13	12	13	42:44	51
12	Pasaia	38	13	11	14	36:43	50
13	SD Deusto	38	11	16	11	42:40	49
14	Urduliz FT	38	12	9	17	39:57	45
15	Aurrera Ondarroa	38	10	8	20	36:55	38
16	Santutxu FC	38	8	14	16	42:60	38
17	Uritarra	38	10	8	20	38:52	38
18	Amurrio Club	38	8	13	17	39:45	37
19	Beti Gazte	38	6	8	24	34:80	26
20	Tolosa	38	7	5	26	43:87	26