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Sao Bernardo vs Athletic Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Bernardo host Athletic Club in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Sao Bernardo at 1.38 goals for, 1.21 against; Athletic Club at 1.21 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Sao Bernardo slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 23, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.06) point toward Athletic Club. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sao Bernardo
30%
Draws
29%
Athletic Club
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Bernardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Bernardo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 20%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bernardo Athletic Club
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Sao Bernardo
2:1
Jun 29, 2024 Serie C
Athletic Club vs Sao Bernardo
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bernardo 31 / 100
Athletic Club 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bernardo Athletic Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Bernardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sao Bernardo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Athletic Club conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sao Bernardo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Bernardo VS Athletic Club
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Bernardo

(Home)
01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2
Sao Bernardo
24 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 2
Vila Nova FC
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1
Criciuma
11 Oct
EC Juventude
2 : 2
Sao Bernardo
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Club

(Away)
02 Nov
Athletic Club
2 : 1
Ceara
23 Oct
Operario-PR
1 : 0
Athletic Club
18 Oct
Avai
0 : 0
Athletic Club
13 Oct
Athletic Club
2 : 2
Londrina
06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
12 Botafogo SP 36 13 9 14 41:39 48
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 36 8 8 20 45:54 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)