Sport Picks
Sao Bernardo vs Avai
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Primeiro de Maio 
AI Match Summary
Sao Bernardo host Avai in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Avai have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Sao Bernardo have conceded 0.88 and scored 0.75. Head-to-head, Sao Bernardo have won 3 to Avai's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 1-0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.19) point toward Sao Bernardo. API prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Avai haven't matched Sao Bernardo's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sao Bernardo's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Bernardo | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Bernardo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Avai has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Avai's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 31 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27:14 | 30 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17:8 | 29 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 6 | Operario-PR | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21:15 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 9 | Goias | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | 24 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 12:9 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16:16 | 22 |
| 12 | Nautico | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21:19 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:19 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 15 | CRB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:29 | 19 |
| 16 | Londrina | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24:24 | 18 |
| 17 | Ceara | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 18 | Avai | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11:33 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10:27 | 6 |