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Sao Bernardo vs Avai

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Douglas Teixeira
35' Event
Jemerson
Assist: Felipe Garcia
45'
Ze Ricardo

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Sao Bernardo
20%
Draws
7%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Bernardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Avai haven't matched Sao Bernardo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sao Bernardo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%
Avai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bernardo Avai
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Avai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Bernardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jemerson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Penha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bernardo 95 / 100
Avai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bernardo Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Bernardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bernardo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Avai has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sao Bernardo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Bernardo VS Avai
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Bernardo

(Home)
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
19 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 0
Atletico GO
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6

Avai

(Away)
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1
Atletico GO
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 30 16 6 8 43:31 54
2 Novorizontino 30 14 9 7 49:27 51
3 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Atletico GO 30 13 10 7 37:27 49
6 Operario-PR 30 13 9 8 43:38 48
7 Criciuma 29 13 8 8 28:27 47
8 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
9 Sport Recife 30 11 11 8 40:32 44
10 Cuiaba 29 10 13 6 30:22 43
11 Goias 30 12 6 12 30:36 42
12 Sao Bernardo 30 11 9 10 40:31 42
13 Nautico 30 11 8 11 38:37 41
14 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
15 Ceara 30 9 9 12 33:39 36
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 30 7 7 16 39:43 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)