Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Bernardo vs Botafogo SP

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo
Fri, Aug 14, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Bernardo host Botafogo SP in the Serie B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sao Bernardo have averaged 1 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Botafogo SP's 1.63 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Sao Bernardo slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.50) point toward Sao Bernardo. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sao Bernardo
28%
Draws
50%
Botafogo SP
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Botafogo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Bernardo lately — more wins on the board than Botafogo SP.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Botafogo SP taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sao Bernardo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 16%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bernardo Botafogo SP
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Sao Bernardo
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Paulista
Botafogo SP vs Sao Bernardo
0:1
Feb 19, 2023 Paulista
Sao Bernardo vs Botafogo SP
2:1
Feb 27, 2022 Paulista
Botafogo SP vs Sao Bernardo
1:0
Nov 14, 2021 Copa Paulista
Sao Bernardo vs Botafogo SP
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bernardo 23 / 100
Botafogo SP 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bernardo Botafogo SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bernardo found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Botafogo SP conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Sao Bernardo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Bernardo VS Botafogo SP
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Bernardo

(Home)
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4
Ceara
23 Jul
Athletic Club
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
17 Jul
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Avai
12 Jul
Sao Bernardo
2 : 2
Cuiaba
06 Jul
Vila Nova FC
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo SP

(Away)
29 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
24 Jul
Botafogo SP
4 : 2
EC Juventude
18 Jul
Londrina
0 : 0
Botafogo SP
10 Jul
Sport Recife
3 : 3
Botafogo SP
06 Jul
Botafogo SP
3 : 1
Avai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma 20 11 7 2 23:12 40
2 EC Juventude 20 10 5 5 22:12 35
3 Operario-PR 20 10 5 5 28:25 35
4 Fortaleza 20 10 4 6 23:19 34
5 Vila Nova FC 20 10 4 6 27:24 34
6 Novorizontino 20 9 6 5 32:19 33
7 Atletico GO 20 8 7 5 23:20 31
8 CRB 20 8 5 7 31:32 29
9 Goias 20 8 5 7 21:26 29
10 Sport Recife 20 6 11 3 25:19 29
11 Athletic Club 20 6 10 4 19:18 28
12 Sao Bernardo 20 7 6 7 28:23 27
13 Nautico 20 7 4 9 24:24 25
14 Cuiaba 20 5 10 5 15:15 25
15 Botafogo SP 20 6 6 8 24:21 24
16 Ceara 20 5 7 8 20:25 22
17 Londrina 20 5 5 10 27:31 20
18 Avai 20 5 5 10 21:27 20
19 America MG 20 2 5 13 14:31 11
20 Ponte Preta 20 2 3 15 15:39 9
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)