Sport Picks
Sao Bernardo vs Botafogo SP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Hygor In: Arthur Caike
Out: Hygor
48'
48'
Para
58'
58'
Sub
Wallace In: Hebert
Out: Wallace
AI Match Summary
Botafogo SP in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botafogo SP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botafogo SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Botafogo SP lately — more wins on the board than Sao Bernardo.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 21%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Bernardo | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Botafogo SP
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Sao Bernardo
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Paulista
Botafogo SP vs Sao Bernardo
0:1
Feb 19, 2023 Paulista
Sao Bernardo vs Botafogo SP
2:1
Feb 27, 2022 Paulista
Botafogo SP vs Sao Bernardo
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Bernardo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Botafogo SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Patrick Brey
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Bernardo 32 / 100
Botafogo SP 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Bernardo Botafogo SP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botafogo SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sao Bernardo scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Botafogo SP conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Sao Bernardo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sao Bernardo VS Botafogo SP
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Bernardo
(Home) 24 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 2 Vila Nova FC
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1 Criciuma
11 Oct
EC Juventude
2 : 2 Sao Bernardo
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1 CRB
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 2 Vila Nova FC
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1 Criciuma
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1 CRB
19 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 0 Atletico GO
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2 Londrina
Page 1 of 3
Botafogo SP
(Away) 24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2 Botafogo SP
18 Oct
CRB
0 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 0 Ceara
07 Oct
Operario-PR
1 : 2 Botafogo SP
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2 Botafogo SP
18 Oct
CRB
0 : 1 Botafogo SP
07 Oct
Operario-PR
1 : 2 Botafogo SP
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:30 | 64 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 45:23 | 64 |
| 3 | Vila Nova FC | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50:36 | 62 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43:31 | 61 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 36:30 | 59 |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:49 | 55 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 47:38 | 54 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42:33 | 54 |
| 9 | Goias | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 36:40 | 52 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45:46 | 51 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49:39 | 49 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40:38 | 47 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 32:28 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40:40 | 44 |
| 15 | Nautico | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 39:46 | 43 |
| 16 | Ceara | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 37:44 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33:45 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 44:51 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 23:54 | 23 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 35 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 21:76 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
