Sport Picks
Sao Bernardo vs Nautico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo 
Match Events
40'
40'
Arnaldo
46'
46'
Sub
Arnaldo In: Reginaldo
Out: Arnaldo
54'
54'
Lucas Lima
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Sao Bernardo and Nautico finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Bernardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nautico carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Sao Bernardo's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%
Nautico Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Bernardo | Nautico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Nautico
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Sao Bernardo
0:3
Aug 24, 2025 Serie C
Sao Bernardo vs Nautico
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie C
Nautico vs Sao Bernardo
1:1
Aug 26, 2023 Serie C
Nautico vs Sao Bernardo
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Bernardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucas Lima
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Nautico Compare
Top Goalscorer Derek
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Bernardo 77 / 100
Nautico 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Bernardo Nautico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sao Bernardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Bernardo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Nautico has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Sao Bernardo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sao Bernardo VS Nautico
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Bernardo
(Home) 01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2 Sao Bernardo
24 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 2 Vila Nova FC
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1 Criciuma
11 Oct
EC Juventude
2 : 2 Sao Bernardo
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 2 Vila Nova FC
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1 Criciuma
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1 CRB
19 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 0 Atletico GO
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2 Londrina
Page 1 of 3
Nautico
(Away) 31 Oct
Nautico
1 : 0 Avai
26 Oct
EC Juventude
4 : 0 Nautico
19 Oct
Goias
0 : 0 Nautico
11 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Vila Nova FC
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Novorizontino
Page 1 of 7
26 Oct
EC Juventude
4 : 0 Nautico
19 Oct
Goias
0 : 0 Nautico
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Nautico
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Nautico
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1 Nautico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64:31 | 67 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47:25 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova FC | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:38 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38:30 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43:31 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54:51 | 55 |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 9 | Atletico GO | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42:33 | 55 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | 51 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 46:48 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33:30 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40:46 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33:46 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 45:58 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26:55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21:78 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
