Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Bernardo vs Vila Nova FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Bernardo host Vila Nova FC in the Serie B. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Vila Nova FC have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Sao Bernardo have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.33. Head-to-head, Sao Bernardo have won 0 to Vila Nova FC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 6, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.00, favoring Vila Nova FC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sao Bernardo
35%
Draws
45%
Vila Nova FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC have won more games recently than Sao Bernardo.
  • Vila Nova FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 23%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bernardo Vila Nova FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs Sao Bernardo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bernardo 29 / 100
Vila Nova FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bernardo Vila Nova FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bernardo scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sao Bernardo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vila Nova FC has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Bernardo VS Vila Nova FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Bernardo

(Home)
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1
Criciuma
11 Oct
EC Juventude
2 : 2
Sao Bernardo
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1
CRB
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6

Vila Nova FC

(Away)
18 Oct
Vila Nova FC
2 : 2
Novorizontino
11 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Vila Nova FC
07 Oct
Vila Nova FC
0 : 0
Cuiaba
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Vila Nova FC
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 34 18 8 8 48:33 62
2 Novorizontino 34 17 10 7 61:30 61
3 EC Juventude 34 17 10 7 41:23 61
4 Fortaleza 34 16 12 6 41:29 60
5 Criciuma 34 17 8 9 35:28 59
6 Atletico GO 34 14 12 8 42:32 54
7 CRB 34 15 7 12 51:48 52
8 Sport Recife 34 13 12 9 45:37 51
9 Goias 33 14 6 13 34:40 48
10 Operario-PR 34 13 9 12 44:46 48
11 Cuiaba 33 11 14 8 32:26 47
12 Sao Bernardo 34 12 10 12 46:37 46
13 Botafogo SP 34 12 8 14 38:38 44
14 Athletic Club 34 10 14 10 40:39 44
15 Ceara 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
16 Nautico 33 11 9 13 39:42 42
17 Avai 34 10 7 17 33:43 37
18 Londrina 33 7 8 18 42:49 29
19 America MG 34 5 5 24 22:54 20
20 Ponte Preta 34 3 5 26 19:74 14
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)