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Sao Bernardo W vs Portuguesa W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Bernardo W play Portuguesa W in the Paulista Women 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Bernardo W averaged 1.29 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Portuguesa W averaged 1.69 goals scored and 2.39 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Bernardo W won 1, Portuguesa W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2015 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.35 for Sao Bernardo W and 0.80 for Portuguesa W. This points to a Portuguesa W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sao Bernardo W
15%
Draws
53%
Portuguesa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portuguesa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Sao Bernardo W picked up more points recently compared to Portuguesa W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.35 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Sao Bernardo W Clean Sheet 26%
Portuguesa W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bernardo W Portuguesa W
Matches Played 42 49
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 26 28
Goals Scored 1.29 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.39

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2015 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Sao Bernardo W
1:2
May 20, 2015 Paulista Women
Sao Bernardo W vs Portuguesa W
2:3
Jun 8, 2014 Paulista Women
Sao Bernardo W vs Portuguesa W
1:2
May 11, 2014 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Sao Bernardo W
4:0
Aug 25, 2013 Paulista Women
Portuguesa W vs Sao Bernardo W
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bernardo W 34 / 100
Portuguesa W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bernardo W Portuguesa W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuguesa W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Portuguesa W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Bernardo W attacking → ← attacking Portuguesa W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bernardo W scored in 62% of their last 42 games.

Portuguesa W let in goals in 78% of their last 49 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sao Bernardo W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Portuguesa W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Botucatu W1061317:1219
2Rio Preto W1054122:1019
3Francana W1053213:418
4Ferroviaria W1051414:1316
5America Sao Manuel W1022610:238
6Palmeiras W1011811:254
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Jose W1090151:227
2Piracicaba W1080240:424
3Taubate W1051412:2116
4Ponte Preta W1050519:1815
5Paulista W1020813:316
6Guarani W100199:681
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Centro Olimpico W1072137:623
2Portuguesa W1071228:822
3CA Juventus W1052321:917
4Cotia W1051422:1716
5Sao Vicente W1011810:434
6Sao Bernardo W101185:404