Sport Picks
Sao Caetano U20 vs EC Sao Bernardo U20
Brazil
Paulista U20 
Match Events
40'
40'
Ledson
90'
90'
Joao Victor
90'
90'
Joao Victor
AI Match Summary
Sao Caetano U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Caetano U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sao Caetano U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- EC Sao Bernardo U20 have won more games recently than Sao Caetano U20.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Sao Caetano U20 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Sao Caetano U20 have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sao Caetano U20 Clean Sheet 68%
EC Sao Bernardo U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Caetano U20 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Paulista U20
Sao Caetano U20 vs EC Sao Bernardo U20
2:0
Aug 7, 2025 Paulista U20
EC Sao Bernardo U20 vs Sao Caetano U20
1:0
Jun 7, 2024 Paulista U20
EC Sao Bernardo U20 vs Sao Caetano U20
0:1
May 3, 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Caetano U20 vs EC Sao Bernardo U20
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Caetano U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ledson
1 Goals Assists Leader Bryan Almeida De Oliveira M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
EC Sao Bernardo U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Caetano U20 59 / 100
EC Sao Bernardo U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Caetano U20 EC Sao Bernardo U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Caetano U20 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: EC Sao Bernardo U20 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Difficult form: EC Sao Bernardo U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Sao Caetano U20 VS EC Sao Bernardo U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Caetano U20
(Home) 17 Jul
Sao Caetano U20
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo U20
10 Jul
Velo Clube U20
2 : 2 Sao Caetano U20
03 Jul
Sao Caetano U20
0 : 2 Uniao Sao Joao U20
28 Jun
Sao Caetano U20
0 : 2 Sao Paulo U20
12 Jun
Desportivo U20
3 : 2 Sao Caetano U20
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17 Jul
Sao Caetano U20
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo U20
03 Jul
Sao Caetano U20
0 : 2 Uniao Sao Joao U20
28 Jun
Sao Caetano U20
0 : 2 Sao Paulo U20
31 May
Sao Caetano U20
2 : 1 Botafogo SP U20
05 Sept
Sao Caetano U20
0 : 1 Ituano U20
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EC Sao Bernardo U20
(Away) 17 Jul
Sao Caetano U20
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo U20
11 Jul
EC Sao Bernardo U20
1 : 3 Sao Paulo U20
03 Jul
Ibrachina U20
4 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo U20
26 Jun
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0 Santo Andre U20
12 Jun
Piracicaba U20
0 : 2 EC Sao Bernardo U20
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Sao Caetano U20
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo U20
03 Jul
Ibrachina U20
4 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo U20
12 Jun
Piracicaba U20
0 : 2 EC Sao Bernardo U20
04 Oct
Santos U20
4 : 1 EC Sao Bernardo U20
19 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo U20
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians U20 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17:1 | 19 |
| 2 | CA Juventus U20 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Santos U20 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:3 | 14 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria U20 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 5 | Portuguesa U20 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Sertaozinho U20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Ponte Preta U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Sao Bento U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 9 | Portuguesa Santista U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 8 |
| 10 | Jabaquara U20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | 7 |
| 11 | Itapirense U20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:17 | 6 |
| 12 | Uniao Suzano U20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:17 | 4 |
| 13 | Mirassol U20 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:12 | 4 |
| 14 | America SP U20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibrachina U20 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Desportivo U20 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo U20 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:2 | 15 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting U20 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 5 | Paulinense U20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Piracicaba U20 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Santo Andre U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 8 | Bandeirante U20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 9 | Aguai U20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Sao Caetano U20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 11 | Novorizontino U20 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 12 | Uniao Sao Joao U20 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 13 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP U20 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Velo Clube U20 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bragantino U20 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25:6 | 21 |
| 2 | Guarani U20 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Agua Santa U20 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Palmeiras U20 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Sfera U20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17:7 | 12 |
| 6 | Gremio Prudente U20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Osasco Audax U20 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Flamengo SP U20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Capivariano U20 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 10 | XV de Jau U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:14 | 8 |
| 11 | Ituano U20 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 12 | Maua FC U20 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 13 | Tanabi U20 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | 5 |
| 14 | Referencia U20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 15 | Porto Football U20 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:12 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
