Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Caetano U20 vs Aguai U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Gigante P.
25' Event
Vargas G.
68' Event
Montti

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Sao Caetano U20 and Aguai U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Caetano U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sao Caetano U20
15%
Draws
0%
Aguai U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Caetano U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aguai U20 haven't matched Sao Caetano U20's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sao Caetano U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sao Caetano U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Aguai U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Caetano U20 Aguai U20
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.32 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Paulista U20
Sao Caetano U20 vs Aguai U20
3:0
Jul 18, 2025 Paulista U20
Aguai U20 vs Sao Caetano U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Caetano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gigante P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Aguai U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Caetano U20 85 / 100
Aguai U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Caetano U20 Aguai U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Caetano U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aguai U20 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Aguai U20's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sao Caetano U20 scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sao Caetano U20 VS Aguai U20
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Caetano U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Ibrachina U20
4 : 0
Sao Caetano U20
08 Sept
Sao Caetano U20
1 : 2
Osasco Sporting U20
21 Aug
Santo Andre U20
0 : 0
Sao Caetano U20
14 Aug
Sao Caetano U20
3 : 0
Aguai U20
11 Aug
Piracicaba U20
2 : 1
Sao Caetano U20
Page 1 of 7

Aguai U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 0
Aguai U20
04 Sept
Aguai U20
0 : 2
Santo Andre U20
14 Aug
Sao Caetano U20
3 : 0
Aguai U20
11 Aug
Aguai U20
0 : 4
EC Sao Bernardo U20
07 Aug
Aguai U20
0 : 3
Sao Paulo U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)